Wednesday, August 27, 2003

Wherein I speculate wildly on Edwards' presidential campaign.

I'm not privy to any inside information, but North Carolina Governor Jim Hunt probably is, so when he says that Edwards will not seek re-election, choosing instead to focus on his presidential campaign, I'm inclined to believe him.

Now, my wild speculation. Seeing as Edwards has sixteen months remaining in his Senate term, I wonder if he'll continue to serve, or if he'll resign, allowing Jim Hunt to name a replacement; like, say, Erskine Bowles. If Edwards did resign,

1) He could dedicate himself fully to his presidential campaign, thereby eliminating one of Dean's advantages.

2) He would nullify several criticisms of his presidential campaign - that it is not serious and that it has distracted him from his Senate duties.

3) He would provide his successor with an early lead in seniority and in the upcoming election.

4) Finally, such a bold move would generate far more chatter among the pundits than would a simple announcement.

The drawback, of course, would be the loss of his position in the Senate. However, if he plans to give it up anyway, there's no reason not to do it now, unless he really, really wants to be a lame duck. So really, there's no drawback.

But like I said, it's only wild speculation.